Greece for Our Engine?

July 10, 2015

 

This week I was catching up with a good friend who founded and built a successful lawn care company.  He relayed a story that had happened to him earlier that day.  While speaking to a customer, he mentioned that he had started his career at Merrill Lynch.  This prompted the customer to plead, “My adviser stinks.  What advice do you have for how to invest in these crazy markets?”  My friend replied, “My advice is don’t ask your lawn guy for investment advice.”

 

With so many “experts” loading up client portfolios with increasingly risky yield assets (just as interest rates hover near historic lows), I’m not so sure that a lawn guy’s advice could be much worse.

 

Chart of the Week

 

The following chart illustrates that nothing is more important than China to the world’s economy … certainly not Greece.

 

Global GDP has grown 17% since 2008, yet backing out China’s 73% growth, the rest of the world’s GDP is still 1% below 2008’s.  (And that’s not even accounting for inflation.  Wait, I forgot.  We haven’t had any of that.)

 

Amen of the Week

 

“Once bad news accumulates, more tends to follow.”

 

“If you own something you think is bad, sell it today because tomorrow it will be worse.”

 

           - Ace Greenburg, former Chairman of Bear Stearns
             The Rise and Fall of Bear Stearns (pp. 142, 196)

 

Yours in the Field,

 


 

 

Frank Byrd, CFA

 

Disclaimer:

While the information presented herein is believed to be accurate, Fielder Capital Group LLC (Fielder) makes no express warranty as to the completeness or accuracy, nor can it accept responsibility for errors appearing in the document. Fielder is under no obligation to notify you of any errors discovered later or of any subsequent changes in opinions. Nothing herein should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any of these securities.  It should not be assumed that any of the securities, transactions, or holdings discussed will prove to be profitable in the future or that investment recommendations or decisions Fielder makes in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein. Fielder or its employees may have an economic interest in securities mentioned herein. This information is intended only for the recipient of this email.  Under no circumstances should this report be shared with or forwarded to anyone else without the express permission of Fielder.

 

 

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